My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. In the playoffs, you have to bet every game, that’s the law. Postgame comments in italics.

Saturday:

Chargers -3 vs. TEXANS ❌
Chargers -7 vs. TEXANS (+200 alternate line) ❌

RAVENS -9 vs. Steelers ✅
RAVENS-Steelers OVER 44 ❌

Sunday:

BILLS -8 vs. Broncos ✅ – I think the Broncos are a franchise with a bright future. Every team needs two things that are very hard to get because there aren’t close to 32 of either of them in the world: a good coach who can adapt on the fly, and a good, durable, clutch quarterback. I like Bo Nix and Sean Peyton’s record speaks for itself. But I also think this year the Broncos are the over-achieving team that least deserves to be in the playoffs. Oh, shit, wait – the Chargers already claimed that. Well, fingers crossed that that describes the Broncos too.

Parlay +300 ❌
• Bills moneyline
• Josh Allen scores a TD
• Josh Allen 1.5+ passing TDs
• Josh Allen 200+ passing yards

EAGLES -5.5 vs. Packers ✅ – Go Birds, I guess?

Commanders +3 vs. BUCS ✅ – The Commanders’ 5 losses this season were to: the Bucs, Ravens, Steelers, Eagles, and Cowboys. Only the Cowboys didn’t make the playoffs, and they were an at least respectable 7-10 team. The Bucs’ 7 losses were to: the Broncos, Falcons, Ravens, Falcons again, Chiefs, Niners, and Cowboys. They beat both the Lions and Eagles back in September, but from October onward they’ve only beaten a single playoff team, the Chargers, and, well, yesterday the Chargers did not look like a team that deserved to be in the playoffs. I’ll take the Commanders with the points and their tougher schedule.

MNF:

Vikings-RAMS OVER 47.5 ❌

Parlay +425 ❌
• RAMS +2.5
• Matthew Stafford 246.5+ passing yards
• Puka Nacua 75+ receiving yards
• Cooper Kupp 50.5+ receiving yards

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Regular season final record: 80-80-4 This week: 4-6