Home team in CAPS, my pick listed first. Postgame comments, if any, in italics.

🎄:

STEELERS +2 vs. Chiefs ❌
STEELERS over Chiefs +220 moneyline (live bet) ❌ — Banking on a bounce back week for Russell Wilson. The Steelers need this game; the Chiefs, not so much.

Ravens -6.5 vs. TEXANS ✅

Saturday:

Chargers -6 vs. PATS ✅ – Come on. This line should’ve been double digits.

Sunday:

BILLS -10 vs. Jets ✅

JAGS -1 vs. Titans ✅ – A genuine Toilet Bowl game between two 3-12 teams, but on the season, the Jags are a perfectly expected 8-7 against the spread, and the Titans are a league-worst 2-13. It’s really really hard to go 2-13 against the spread.

Colts -7.5 vs. GIANTS ❌

Cowboys +7.5 vs. EAGLES 2x bet ❌ ❌ – Better late than never, Dallas is playing well, and the Eagles don’t have Hurts and while they’re in the hunt for the NFC #1 seed, let’s face it, they’re in “rest for the playoffs” mode.

VIKINGS over Packers +100 moneyline ✅

SNF:

COMMANDERS -3.5 vs. Falcons ✅ – I think the Commanders are that team – the team that is going to make the playoffs without sweating out the final-week results, but then is going to get demolished in the opening round. But they should beat the Falcons.

MNF:

Lions -3.5 vs. 49ERS ✅
Lions moneyline + Goff 200+ yards passing -110 ✅ (Same game parlay.)

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Season to date (weeks 1-16): 69-72-4
This week: 8-5