Home team in CAPS, my pick listed first. Postgame comments, if any, in italics.

Thursday Night Football:

Rams +2.5 vs. 49ERS ✅ – I’m just betting against the Niners to bet against the Niners.

Chiefs -4 vs. BROWNS ✅ — The Chiefs are on an 0-7 skid against the spread (ATS). Kinda wild, but unsurprising I guess given how they win by like 2-4 points every damn week. That’s got to end sometime.

Bengals -5.5 vs. TITANS ✅ — The Titans are a remarkable 2-11 ATS this season.

Commanders -7.5 vs. SAINTS ❌

Cowboys +2.5 vs. PANTHERS ✅ — This is the first time the Panthers have been favored in 34 games. Last week’s fluke play to lose was a gut punch for Dallas but I like the cut of their jib closing out the end of this shitty season. The team seems to have truly rallied around McCarthy.

JAGS +3 vs. Jets ❌

4pm games:

BRONCOS -4 vs. Colts ✅ — The Broncos are likely in the playoffs with a win, and the Colts have “big game chokers” written all over them.

Bills +2.5 vs. LIONS ✅ — Bet the better quarterback in a “could be the Super Bowl matchup” game like this.

Steelers +5.5 vs. EAGLES ❌ — The Eagles were late season chokers last year, and last week made it look like it could happen again. I like Pittsburgh to straight up win this game, so hell yeah I’ll take the points.

Monday Night Football:

VIKINGS -7 vs. Bears ✅ – The Bears have lost 7 games in a row and the Vikes are heading to the playoffs, and are in the Rodney Dangerfield get-no-respect role at 11-2 but everyone talking only of the Lions and Eagles as likely NFC champs. Any chance the Vikes might take the Bears lightly was eliminated three weeks ago when they squeaked by 30-27 in Chicago. This game has blowout written all over it.

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Season to date (weeks 1-14): 54-65-3
This week: 7-3