Home team in CAPS, my pick listed first. Postgame comments, if any, in italics.

Thursday Night Football:

LIONS -3.5 vs. Packers ❌

Sunday:

Jaguars +3.5 vs. TITANS ✅ – At a glance this is a weird game to bet, a real Toilet Bowl game if ever there was one, with the Jags at 2-10 and Titans 3-9, a combined ugly 5-19. Also, at a glance, might seem weird to bet the Jags with Trevor Lawrence out, again, after that brutal cheap-shot hit by the Texans last week knocked him cold. But Lawrence blows anyway. The Tennessee pass defense is good but their run defense sucks, so the Jags should be able to do the obvious and run the ball down the Titans’ throat. Even Mac Jones can hand the ball off. Also, the Titans don’t just stink as losers, they also stink against the spread at 2-10. The Jags are a surprising 7-5 ATS.

EAGLES -13.5 vs. Panthers ❌

STEELERS -7 vs. Browns ✅

Bills -3.5 vs. RAMS ✅

Bears +3.5 vs. 49ERS ❌

SNF:

Chargers +4 vs. CHIEFS 2× bet ✅ ✅ – Even if you like the Chiefs to win, they’ve been grinding out within-a-field-goal wins all season. And I sort of feel like they’re on a downswing, hitting a lull before they turn it on for the playoffs.

MNF:

COWBOYS +5.5 v. Bengals ❌

Parlay +600 ❌
• Cowboys moneyline
• CeeDee Lamb touchdown
• CeeDee Lamb 75+ receiving yards

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Season to date (weeks 1-13): 50-59-3
This week: 5-5