My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics.

Season:

Cowboys over 10.5 wins (+150, 2× bet to win 5×) - The painfully obvious beef against the Cowboys is that they play embarrassingly bad in the playoffs, every damn year. But they’ve finished 12-5 each of the last three years. And their defense should be better this year, without that idiot Dan Quinn as coordinator.

Cowboys to win Super Bowl (+1000, 10× bet to win 200×) - Hope springs eternal.

Eagles under 10.5 wins (+120) - The Eagles finished last season 1-6, beating only the Giants in that stretch, and got crushed by Tampa in the playoffs. I think there’s a decent chance that stretch wasn’t a fluke, but instead a sign of the league figuring this team out.

Giants under 5.5 wins (+155) – I do not think much of Danny Dimes as a quarterback, nor much of the Giants offensive line.

Thursday Night:

CHIEFS -3 vs. Ravens ✅
CHIEFS-Ravens UNDER 46.5 ❌ — The Chiefs beat the Ravens 17-10 in the playoffs and in last year’s Thursday Night opener, lost to the Lions 21-20. I think it takes a few weeks for offenses to gel but great defenses play great right out of the gate.

Friday Night Brazilian Special:

Packers +2.5 vs. EAGLES ❌

Sunday:

Vikings -1.5 vs. GIANTS ✅ – Might be like taking candy from a baby betting against the Giants this month.

Steelers +3.5 vs. FALCONS ✅ – In Mike Tomlinson I trust.

Jaguars +3.5 vs. DOLPHINS ✅ – Kinda thinking Tua is only good against bad teams.

BENGALS -7.5 vs. Patriots ❌ – Oh this is so, so fun betting against the Pats now.

CHARGERS -3 vs. Raiders ✅ – I think the Raiders are a mess.

Cowboys +2.5 vs. BROWNS 2× bet ✅ ✅ – Come on, man.

Parlay +290 ❌
- Cowboys moneyline
- Prescott 2+ passing TDs
- Prescott 200+ passing yards

Rams +4.5 vs. LIONS ❌ – Gut feeling on this one.

MNF:

Jets +3.5 vs. NINERS ❌ – Sure hope Rodgers lasts more than 3 plays this year.

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This week: 7-6

2023 regular season betting record: 67–81–3
2023 final record, including playoffs: 87-109-3