NFL 2023 Week 18 Picks

My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments, if any, in italics. Not looking good for a winning regular season.

Saturday:

RAVENS to beat Steelers +130 moneyline

Texans -1 vs. COLTS ✅ – Bet the better quarterback.

Parlay +675 ❌ — This one came within a missed PAT and 11 passing yards of hitting.
+ Texans moneyline
- Texans OVER 23.5 points
+ Texans OVER 2.5 TDs
- C.J. Stroud 275+ passing yards
+ Nico Collins 80.5+ receiving yards
+ Dalton Schultz 40+ receiving yards

Sunday:

Buccaneers -4.5 at PANTHERS ✅ — It’s a win-and-in for the Bucs and another “throw your drink at angry fans” game for the Panthers.

Jags -3.5 vs. TITANS ❌ — I’ve lost a small fortune betting the Jags this season but I think they’ll win big here. Welp, now I’ve lost a larger fortune betting the Jags.

GIANTS to beat Eagles +190 moneyline ✅ ✅ — This is the Giants’ “playoff”, a chance to beat their despised division rival. And the Eagles have stunk for two months.

Bears to beat PACKERS +130 moneyline ❌ — Same thing for the Bears as the Giants: a season-ending chance to spoil things for a rival. Only difference is the Packers don’t stink like the Eagles do.

Cowboys -13 vs. COMMANDERS — ✅ Dallas knows how to win big.

Dak Prescott: 271.5+ passing yards

Cowboys-COMMANDERS Parlay +800
+ Cowboys -7.5
- Dak Prescott 11.5+ rushing yards (Fuuuuuuck)
+ CeeDee Lamb 80+ receiving yards
+ Brandin Cooks 25+ receiving yards
+ Jake Ferguson 25+ receiving yards
+ Tony Pollard 50+ rushing yards
+ Dallas 3.5+ TDs

Bills-DOLPHINS Parlay +900
- Over 47.5 total points
+ Bills 2.5+ TDs - Tua 1.5+ TD passes
- Tua 250+ passing yards
+ Allen 1.5+ TD passes
+ Allen 243.5+ passing yards
+ Stefan Diggs 63.5+ receiving yards

Season to date (weeks 1-17): 61-75-3
This week: 6-6