My pick: listed first. Home team: CAPS. Post-game comments in italics.

Thanksgiving:

LIONS over Bills +400 moneyline ❌ — I’d have avoided this game but the rules are rules and you gotta bet every game on Thanksgiving. So let’s take a flier on the home team to win it outright. So close.

COWBOYS over Giants -430 Moneyline 4× bet ✅ – There’s no way I’m going to ruin my Thanksgiving betting a 9.5-point spread. Just win, baby.

COWBOYS vs. Giants +950 6-prop parlay: ❌

• Cowboys moneyline ✔️
• Dak Prescott 199.5+ passing yards ✔️
• Ezekiel Elliott 44.5+ rushing yards ✔️
• Tony Pollard 59.5+ rushing yards ✔️
• Ezekiel Elliott score ✔️
• CeeDee Lamb score ✖️

That parlay was even closer to hitting than it looks from that list: Lamb caught a would-be TD in the second half and his second foot landed, at most, an inch out of bounds. So it goes.

Patriots +2.5 vs. VIKINGS ❌ — I think the Pats are doing what Belichick shoots for every season: playing their best football starting in November. I think the Vikings played their best football in September and October.

Sunday:

Chargers -2.5 vs. CARDINALS ❌ — Slim pickings looking at Sunday’s games and spreads. I like the Chargers to take this one.

Season to date (weeks 1–11): 26-20-4
This week: 1-4